The No. 4 Ohio State Buckeyes have won seven games in a row, taking control of the Big Ten race and working their way into the top four of the College Football Playoff rankings. On Saturday, Ryan Day's team will aim to continue that run with a matchup against the No. 19 Purdue Boilermakers. Ohio State is undefeated against conference opponents with an overall record of 8-1. Purdue is 6-3 overall and 4-2 against Big Ten competition. The Buckeyes lead the Big Ten East, while the Boilermakers are in a four-way tie for first in the West.
Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET at Ohio Stadium. The Buckeyes are 20-point favorites in the latest Purdue vs. Ohio State odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over-under for total points is up to 65 after opening at 63. Before finalizing any Ohio State vs. Purdue picks or college football predictions, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 11 of the 2021 season on a 31-20 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Purdue vs. Ohio State and just revealed its CFB picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several college football betting lines and trends for Ohio State vs. Purdue:
- Purdue vs. Ohio State spread: Ohio State -20
- Purdue vs. Ohio State over-under: 65 points
- Purdue vs. Ohio State money line: OSU -1400, Purdue +800
- PUR: The Boilermakers are 5-4 against the spread in 2021
- OSU: The Buckeyes are 4-4-1 against the spread this season
Why Purdue can cover
The Boilermakers are playing well defensively. Purdue is giving up only 18.4 points per game this season, and the Boilermakers rank in the top five of the Big Ten in allowing only 329.8 total yards per game. Purdue is especially sound against the pass, holding opponents to 185.3 yards per game and a completion rate of only 54.2 percent. In addition, opponents have more interceptions (11) than touchdown passes (seven) against Purdue.
On offense, senior quarterback Aidan O'Connell showcased his tremendous upside in throwing for 536 yards and three touchdowns in last week's win over Michigan State. Purdue also has the two leading receivers in the Big Ten in David Bell and Jahan Dotson, so Ohio State will have its hands full with the Boilermakers through the air.
Why Ohio State can cover
Ohio State is one of the best offensive teams in the country with elite metrics in scoring offense, total offense, passing offense and rushing offense. But the Buckeyes are also quite strong on defense. Ohio State is giving up only 19.0 points per game this season, and rushing defense should be an advantage in this game. Opponents are rushing for only 109.1 yards per game against Ohio State, and Purdue is dead-last in the Big Ten in rushing yards per game (77.0) and yards per carry (2.4).
Ohio State is also excellent against the pass, holding opponents to 6.8 yards per attempt and a completion rate of 59.6 percent. The Buckeyes lead the Big Ten with 33 sacks and, from a havoc standpoint, Ohio State has 11 interceptions compared to only 13 passing touchdowns allowed.
How to make Purdue vs. Ohio State picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 59 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Ohio State vs. Purdue pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Purdue vs. Ohio State? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Purdue vs. Ohio State spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.
Source : https://www.cbssports.com/college-football/news/ohio-state-vs-purdue-odds-line-spread-2021-college-football-picks-week-11-predictions-from-proven-model/971